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		<title>Inflation report to be released Thursday expected to show slight uptick in November</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 10:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[An inflation report to be released on Thursday will offer a look at price increases for the first time in nearly two months, after the 43-day government shutdown impaired data collection. The fresh data is set to arrive amid an uptick of inflation over recent months that has coincided with a flurry of tariffs issued [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC ">An <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/inflation-expected-reach-highest-level-year/story?id=126752284" target="_blank" dir="ltr">inflation</a> report to be released on Thursday will offer a look at price increases for the first time in nearly two months, after the 43-day <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/government-shutdown-halts-data-stokes-risk-economy-wobbles/story?id=126259604" target="_blank" dir="ltr">government shutdown</a> impaired data collection.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The fresh data is set to arrive amid an uptick of inflation over recent months that has coincided with a flurry of <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/trump-unveils-tariff-rates-set-effect-week/story?id=124249032" target="_blank" dir="ltr">tariffs</a> issued by President Donald Trump. Economists expect that acceleration of price increases to have continued last month, forecasting a jump in year-over-year inflation from 3% in September to 3.1% in November.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The report will detail the latest price movements for<a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/lower-tariffs-bring-prices-coffee-bananas-experts-weigh/story?id=127519772" target="_blank" dir="ltr"> high-profile items</a> like coffee, beef and eggs.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In September &#8212; the most recent month for which data is available &#8212; the price of coffee soared nearly 19% and the price of beef jumped about 15%, when compared to the same month a year prior.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The year-over-year price of eggs dropped nearly 5% in September, offering a bright spot for consumers.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The federal government will issue partial price data for October, but the release will not include a figure for the overall rise in prices that month, since officials failed to collect sufficient information during the government shutdown, the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm#cpi_note" target="_blank" dir="ltr">Bureau of Labor Statistics</a> (BLS) previously said in a statement.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The latest snapshot of price increases comes at a wobbly period for the U.S. economy, landing in a period marked by sluggish hiring and elevated inflation.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Two major economic data releases earlier this week flashed warning signs, some analysts <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/us-economy-flashes-warning-signs-new-data-analysts/story?id=128463726" target="_blank" dir="ltr">previously told</a> ABC News.</p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The U.S. added 64,000 jobs in November, which marked a significant decline from 119,000 jobs added in September, the most recent month for which complete data is available, the BLS said in a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/jobs-report-reveal-health-us-economy-amid-government/story?id=128413084" target="_blank" dir="ltr">jobs report</a> on Tuesday.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.6% in November from 4.4% in September. Unemployment remains low by historical standards but has inched up to its highest level since 2021.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">A retail sales report on Tuesday also sounded a cautionary note about consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. Retail sales were left unchanged in October from September, meaning performance remained flat despite the ramp-up of the holiday season, U.S. Census Bureau data showed.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Last week, the Federal Reserve <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/divided-fed-set-announce-decision-interest-rates/story?id=128204427" target="_blank" dir="ltr">cut</a> its benchmark interest rate a quarter of a percentage point in an effort to boost the sluggish labor market. The move amounted to the third rate cut this year, bringing the Fed&#8217;s benchmark rate to a level between 3.5% and 3.75%.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Interest rates have dropped significantly from a recent peak attained in 2023, but borrowing costs remain well above a 0% rate established at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Fed is stuck in a bind, since the central bank must balance a dual mandate to keep inflation under control and maximize employment. To address pressure on both of its goals, the Fed primarily holds a single tool: interest rates.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The pressure on both sides of the Fed&#8217;s dual mandate present a &#8220;challenging situation&#8221; for the central bank, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference in Washington, D.C., last week.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;There&#8217;s no risk-free path for policy as we navigate this tension between our employment and inflation goals,&#8221; Powell added.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN ">The Fed will meet again to adjust interest rates next month. The odds of interest rates being left unchanged stand at about 75%, while the chances of a quarter-point rate cut register at 25%, according to <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html" target="_blank" dir="ltr">CME FedWatch Tool</a>, a measure of market sentiment.</p>
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