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		<title>It is now peak hurricane season: What to expect for storms in the Atlantic</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Sep 2025 09:10:10 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Don&#8217;t be fooled by the lack of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin. The peak of hurricane season is here, and activity could soon ramp up, despite the relative quiet currently occurring in the tropics, according to meteorologists. The climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is Sept. 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC ">Don&#8217;t be fooled by the lack of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The peak of hurricane season is here, and activity could soon ramp up, despite the relative quiet currently occurring in the tropics, according to meteorologists.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is Sept. 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, on average, according to the National Hurricane Center. Historically speaking, about two-thirds of all Atlantic hurricane season activity occurs between Aug. 20 and Oct. 10.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">But the Atlantic Basin remains quiet with no tropical development expected over the next week.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;For the next seven days, things look pretty quiet,&#8221; David Zierden, the Florida state climatologist and head of the Florida Climate Center at Florida State University, told ABC News.</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><picture <picture="" data-testid="prism-picture" class="lazyload"><source media="(max-width: 414px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/f140f249-2f11-4078-a320-8b24aae40f39/hurricane-milton-gty-jef-250909_1757440830321_hpMain.jpg?w=375, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/f140f249-2f11-4078-a320-8b24aae40f39/hurricane-milton-gty-jef-250909_1757440830321_hpMain.jpg?w=750 2x"><source media="(min-width: 415px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/f140f249-2f11-4078-a320-8b24aae40f39/hurricane-milton-gty-jef-250909_1757440830321_hpMain.jpg?w=750, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/f140f249-2f11-4078-a320-8b24aae40f39/hurricane-milton-gty-jef-250909_1757440830321_hpMain.jpg?w=1500 2x"></picture></div>
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">A woman walks along a flooded street in the aftermath of Hurricane Milton on October 10, 2024 in Osprey, Florida.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Sean Rayford/Getty Images</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">However, forecasters anticipate an increase in activity during the second half of the month as conditions become more favorable for tropical cyclone development.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The remainder of September and October will likely be active, Zierden said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center long-range Global Tropical Hazards Outlook shows a rising probability of tropical development over the central Atlantic Ocean in the latter part of September, as large-scale environmental conditions gradually become more favorable for tropical cyclone activity.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Tropical weather experts at <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html" target="_blank">Colorado State University</a> echo these predictions, saying overall atmospheric conditions, including wind patterns, will shift in a manner that supports a notable increase in activity.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In mid-September, the upper atmosphere and wind shear should become more favorable for the formation and strengthening of storms, Jennifer Francis, an atmospheric scientist at the Woodwell Climate Research Center, told ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Last month, NOAA predicted <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/normal-activity-predicted-remainder-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season/story?id=124450494" target="_blank">above-normal activity</a> for the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The agency forecasted 13 to 18 total named storms with winds of 39 mph or greater, including five to nine storms predicted to become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or greater and two to five storms expected to become major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or higher.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The average number of named storms in the Atlantic Basin during one season is 14, with seven of them becoming hurricanes.</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><picture <picture="" data-testid="prism-picture" class="lazyload"><source media="(max-width: 414px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/431bb5c5-90ae-4915-a6e6-e60b39f9b479/hurricane-helene-gty-jef-250909_1757440816480_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=375, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/431bb5c5-90ae-4915-a6e6-e60b39f9b479/hurricane-helene-gty-jef-250909_1757440816480_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=750 2x"><source media="(min-width: 415px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/431bb5c5-90ae-4915-a6e6-e60b39f9b479/hurricane-helene-gty-jef-250909_1757440816480_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=750, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/431bb5c5-90ae-4915-a6e6-e60b39f9b479/hurricane-helene-gty-jef-250909_1757440816480_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=1500 2x"><img decoding="async" alt="" class="hsDdd NDJZt sJeUN IJwXl vBqtr KrDt itslR SjwtZ hakZw HlUVI " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" loading="lazy" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" data-src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/431bb5c5-90ae-4915-a6e6-e60b39f9b479/hurricane-helene-gty-jef-250909_1757440816480_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg"></picture></div>
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">Remnants of the Lake Lure Flowering Bridge are seen along the Broad River in a landscape scarred by Hurricane Helene on March 24, 2025 in Lake Lure, North Carolina.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Sean Rayford/Getty Images</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">So far this season, there have been six named storms. Only one storm has formed into a major hurricane.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Hurricane Erin formed on Aug. 11 and intensified into a Category 5 storm less than a week later. While the hurricane brought a prolonged period of rough surf and dangerous rip currents to the northeastern Caribbean and the East Coast of the U.S., it remained offshore.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Separately, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall in South Carolina in early July.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The next named storm will be called Gabrielle.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Atlantic hurricane season has been relatively quiet so far due to hostile atmospheric conditions that discourage the formation of tropical cyclones as well as the dust blowing from the Sahara Desert, Francis said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">September and October often see some of the busiest activity for hurricanes because sea surface temperatures can be at their highest, Zierden said. Higher temperatures provide &#8220;ample fuel&#8221; for the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones, he added.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Currently, waters in the Gulf and Caribbean are &#8220;very warm,&#8221; Francis said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;So when a disturbance does come along, it&#8217;ll have plenty of fuel,&#8221; Francis said.</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><picture <picture="" data-testid="prism-picture" class="lazyload"><source media="(max-width: 414px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/8215c902-e2e3-45e1-8919-161ade251b83/erin-1-ht-gmh-250821_1755780676706_hpMain.jpg?w=375, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/8215c902-e2e3-45e1-8919-161ade251b83/erin-1-ht-gmh-250821_1755780676706_hpMain.jpg?w=750 2x"><source media="(min-width: 415px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/8215c902-e2e3-45e1-8919-161ade251b83/erin-1-ht-gmh-250821_1755780676706_hpMain.jpg?w=750, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/8215c902-e2e3-45e1-8919-161ade251b83/erin-1-ht-gmh-250821_1755780676706_hpMain.jpg?w=1500 2x"><img decoding="async" alt="" class="hsDdd NDJZt sJeUN IJwXl vBqtr KrDt itslR SjwtZ hakZw HlUVI " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" loading="lazy" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" data-src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/8215c902-e2e3-45e1-8919-161ade251b83/erin-1-ht-gmh-250821_1755780676706_hpMain.jpg"></picture></div>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">During the two busiest Atlantic hurricane seasons on record &#8212; 2020 and 2005 &#8212; both years saw about half of the total number of named storms for the season occur after Sept. 3.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Hurricane activity in 2024 demonstrated how active late September and early October can be for tropical development.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Hurricane Helene, which caused devastating flooding in North Carolina, formed on Sept. 24, 2024, while Hurricane Milton, which caused widespread destruction in Florida, formed on Oct. 5, 2024.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">During this time of year, tropical activity tends to develop in the Caribbean or Gulf, rather than near Africa, which also complicates response efforts, Francis said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN ">&#8220;That gives people less time to prepare,&#8221; she said.</p>
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