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		<title>American bombs in Iran also reverberate in China and North Korea</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2025 12:30:26 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[DUBAI, United Arab Emirates &#8212; President Donald Trump campaigned on keeping the United States out of foreign wars, but it didn&#8217;t take long to convince him to come to the direct aid of Israel, hitting Iranian nuclear targets with bunker-buster bombs dropped by B-2 stealth bombers and Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from a submarine. Beyond [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC "><span class="oyrPY qlwaB AGxeB  ">DUBAI, United Arab Emirates &#8212; </span>President <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/hub/donald-trump">Donald Trump</a> campaigned on keeping the United States out of foreign wars, but it didn&#8217;t take long to convince him to come to the direct aid of Israel, hitting Iranian nuclear targets with <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/article/bunker-buster-bomb-israel-iran-fordo-fordow-b2-nuclear-8a612cbf16aa0f99bd9992334ffc93d7">bunker-buster bombs</a> dropped by B-2 stealth bombers and Tomahawk cruise missiles fired from a submarine.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Beyond the attack&#8217;s immediate impact on helping bring the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-us-war-nuclear-program-tehran-43365ba495100c55a8d876ba67cf0ccd">12-day war</a> to a close, experts say Trump&#8217;s decision to use force against another country also will certainly be reverberating in the Asia-Pacific, Washington&#8217;s priority theater. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“Trump’s strikes on Iran show that he’s not afraid to use military force — this would send a clear message to North Korea, and even to China and Russia, about Trump&#8217;s style,” said Duyeon Kim, a senior analyst at the Center for a New American Security based in Seoul, South Korea. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“Before the strikes, Pyongyang and Beijing might have assumed that Trump is risk averse, particularly based on his behavior his first presidency despite some tough talk,&#8221; Kim said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Ten days into the war between Israel and Iran, Trump made the risky decision to step in, hitting three nuclear sites with American firepower on June 22 in a bid to destroy the country’s nuclear program at a time while negotiations between Washington and Tehran were still ongoing.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The attacks prompted a pro forma Iranian retaliatory strike the following day on a U.S. base in nearby Qatar, which caused no casualties, and both Iran and Israel then <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-trump-ceasefire-attacks-continue-f1e60190722cc3410b69f21717872ffa">agreed to a ceasefire</a> on June 24. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy "><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/hub/north-korea">North Korea</a>, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/hub/china">China</a> and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/hub/russia">Russia</a> all were quick to condemn the American attack, with Russian President Vladimir Putin calling it “unprovoked aggression,” China&#8217;s Foreign Ministry saying it violated international law and “exacerbated tensions in the Middle East,” and North Korea&#8217;s Foreign Ministry maintaining it “trampled down the territorial integrity and security interests of a sovereign state.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">While the strikes were a clear tactical success, the jury is still out on whether they will have a more broad strategic benefit to Washington&#8217;s goals in the Middle East or convince Iran it needs to work harder than ever to develop a nuclear deterrent, possibly pulling the U.S. back into a longer-term conflict.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">If the attack remains a one-off strike, U.S. allies in the Asia-Pacific region likely will see the decision to become involved as a positive sign from Trump&#8217;s administration, said Euan Graham, a senior defense analyst with the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“The U.S. strike on Iran will be regarded as net plus by Pacific allies if it is seen to reinforce red lines, restore deterrence and is of limited duration, so as not to pull the administration off-course from its stated priorities in the Indo-Pacific,” he said. “China will take note that Trump is prepared to use force, at least opportunistically.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In China, many who have seen Trump as having a “no-war mentality” will reassess that in the wake of the attacks, which were partially aimed at forcing Iran&#8217;s hand in nuclear program negotiations, said Zhao Minghao, an international relations professor at China’s Fudan University in Shanghai. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“The way the U.S. used power with its air attacks against Iran is something China needs to pay attention to,” he said. “How Trump used power to force negotiations has a significance for how China and the U.S. will interact in the future.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">But, he said, Washington should not think it can employ the same strategy with Beijing. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“If a conflict breaks out between China and the U.S., it may be difficult for the U.S. to withdraw as soon as possible, let alone withdraw unscathed,” he said. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Indeed, China and North Korea present very different challenges than Iran. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">First and foremost, both already have nuclear weapons, raising the stakes of possible retaliation considerably in the event of any attack. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">There also is no Asian equivalent of Israel, whose relentless attacks on Iranian missile defenses in the opening days of the war paved the way for the B-2 bombers to fly in and out without a shot being fired at them. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Still, the possibility of the U.S. becoming involved in a conflict involving either China or North Korea is a very real one, and Beijing and Pyongyang will almost certainly try to assess what the notoriously unpredictable Trump would do. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">North Korea will likely be “quite alarmed” at what Israel, with a relatively small but high-quality force, has been able to achieve over Iran, said Joseph Dempsey, a defense expert with the International Institute for Strategic Studies. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">At the same time, it likely will be seen internally as justification for its own nuclear weapons program, </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“If Iran did have deployable nuclear weapons would this have occurred?” Dempsey said. “Probably not.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The U.S. decision to attack while still in talks with Iran will also not go unnoticed, said Hong Min, a senior analyst at South Korea’s Institute for National Unification. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“North Korea may conclude that dialogue, if done carelessly, could backfire by giving the United States a pretext for possible aggression,” he said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“Instead of provoking the Trump administration, North Korea is more likely to take an even more passive stance toward negotiations with Washington, instead focusing on strengthening its internal military buildup and pursuing closer ties with Russia, narrowing the prospects for future talks,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">China will look at the attacks through the visor of Taiwan, the self-governing democratic island off its coast that China claims as its own territory and President Xi Jinping has not ruled out taking by force.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The U.S. supplies Taiwan with weapons and is one of its most important allies, though Washington&#8217;s official policy on whether it would come to Taiwan’s aid in the case of a conflict with China is known as “strategic ambiguity,&#8221; meaning not committing to how it would respond.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Militarily, the strike on Iran raises the question of whether the U.S. might show less restraint than has been expected by China in its response and hit targets on the Chinese mainland in the event of an invasion of Taiwan, said Drew Thompson, senior fellow with the Singapore-based think tank RSIS Rajaratnam School of International Studies. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">It will also certainly underscore for Beijing the “difficulty of predicting Trump&#8217;s actions,” he said. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;The U.S. airstrike on Iran’s nuclear facilities caught many by surprise,&#8221; Thompson said. &#8220;I think it demonstrated a tolerance and acceptance of risk in the Trump administration that is perhaps surprising.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">It also gives rise to a concern that Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te, who in recent speeches has increased warnings about the threat from China, may be further emboldened in his rhetoric, said Lyle Goldstein, director of the Asia Program at the Washington-based foreign policy think tank Defense Priorities.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Already, Lai&#8217;s words have prompted China to accuse him of pursuing Taiwanese independence, which is a red line for Beijing. Goldstein said he worried Taiwan may try to take advantage of the American “use of force against Iran to increase its deterrent situation versus the mainland.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“President Lai&#8217;s series of recent speeches appear almost designed to set up a new cross-strait crisis, perhaps in the hopes of building more support in Washington and elsewhere around the Pacific,” said Goldstein, who also is director of the China Initiative at Brown University’s Watson Institute. </p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“I think that is an exceedingly risky gambit, to put it mildly,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">___</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN ">Tong-hyung Kim in Seoul, South Korea, and Didi Tang and Albee Zhang in Washington contributed to this report. </p>
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