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		<title>&#8216;Wild time&#8217;: Wall Street strategists warn of uncertain outlook amid Trump&#8217;s tariffs</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Apr 2025 19:28:57 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs set off one of the most volatile periods of stock trading in U.S. history – and uncertainty still looms over Wall Street, analysts told ABC News. Tariffs remain the primary mover of stock prices, putting market strategists and everyday investors in the near-impossible position of anticipating Trump’s next decision [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC ">President Donald Trump’s “<a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-sweeping-new-tariff-plan/story?id=120425851" target="_blank">Liberation Day</a>” tariffs set off one of the most volatile periods of <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/asian-markets-us-futures-slide-trumps-new-china/story?id=120626507" target="_blank">stock trading</a> in U.S. history – and uncertainty still looms over Wall Street, analysts told ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy "><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/trumps-tariffs-risk-inflation-recession-china-trade-war/story?id=120686518" target="_blank">Tariffs</a> remain the primary mover of stock prices, putting market strategists and everyday investors in the near-impossible position of anticipating Trump’s next decision and its potential fallout, the analysts said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Analysts warned of a possible <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/recession-risks-rising-economists/story?id=119626246" target="_blank">economic downturn</a> that would pummel stocks but urged investors to hold on to shares if they can resist the temptation to sell, since markets typically rise over the long term.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Trump administration’s policy swerves “leave the markets kind of baffled, without investors having a clear idea of whether they should hold or fold when it comes to their own stock portfolio,” Ed Yardeni, the president of market advisory firm Yardeni Research and former chief investment strategist at Deutsche Bank&#8217;s U.S. equities division, told ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Callie Cox, chief market strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, told investors this week: “Trying to predict policy – or markets’ next move – is a fool’s errand.”</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">After Trump’s tariff announcement in the Rose Garden on April 2, the S<!-- -->&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/us-stock-futures-plummet-wake-trumps-tariffs-announcement/story?id=120431557" target="_blank">suffered</a> their biggest one-day losses since the pandemic. When Trump paused some of the tariffs a week later, the indexes soared, recovering much of their losses. Since then, however, an escalating trade war with tariffs has contributed to topsy-turvy markets.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Each of the major indexes stands lower than it did before Trump’s tariff announcement. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped about 4%, while the S<!-- -->&amp;P 500 has fallen roughly 5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq has also declined roughly 5%.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">As markets swung, bond yields <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/bond-market-matters-finances-economy/story?id=120635535" target="_blank">climbed</a> and the U.S. dollar depreciated, prompting concerns about assets that typically serve as safe-haven investments during moments of instability for stocks. The 10-year Treasury yield, which helps set interest rates for mortgages and credit cards, has eased in recent days but stands well above its level at the outset of this month.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“It’s a wild time,” Mike Loukas, CEO of TrueMark Investments, told ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The volatility poses a challenge for market strategists, since the swings in day-to-day stock prices can be traced in large part to White House policies and announcements, rather than to economic data or corporate profits, analysts said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Fed Chair Jerome Powell <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/fed-chair-powell-sounds-alarm-tariffs-sending-stocks/story?id=120863770" target="_blank">said Wednesday</a> that he expects the tariffs to hike inflation and slow economic growth. Within minutes, stocks plummeted.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">During his remarks, Powell also said that recent stock volatility reflected the significance of the policy changes from the White House, rather than abnormal behavior in the markets.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;Markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty and that means volatility,&#8221; Powell told the audience at the Economic Club of Chicago. &#8220;They&#8217;re functioning just about as you&#8217;d expect them to function.&#8221;</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Despite the market turmoil, the economy remains in solid shape by several key measures.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The unemployment rate stands at a historically low level and hiring exceeded expectations last month. Additionally, inflation cooled in March, putting price increases well below a peak attained in 2022, fresh data last week <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/inflation-data-offer-snapshot-economy-largely-tariff-turmoil/story?id=120630485" target="_blank">showed</a>.</p>
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<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">President Donald Trump arrives at a ceremony in the East Room of the White House, April 15, 2025, in Washington, D.C.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Still, that positive economic data covers a period before the April 2 tariffs announcement. A top measure of consumer sentiment this month dropped to a level lower than at any point during the Great Recession, according to a survey conducted by the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/" target="_blank">University of Michigan</a>. Numerous Wall Street firms and prominent investors also have raised their odds of the U.S. experiencing a recession within the next year.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The latest developments in tariff policy will continue to move markets, analysts said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Trump administration last week paused so-called “reciprocal tariffs” on most countries for 90 days, vowing to pursue trade agreements with about 75 countries over that period. A high-stakes <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/country-leverage-us-china-trade-war-experts-weigh/story?id=120713403" target="_blank">standoff</a> between the U.S. and China – the world’s two largest economies – holds implications for many large U.S. firms.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">San Diego-based financial firm LPL Financial said Tuesday that it had suspended its estimate of a year-end target level for the S<!-- -->&amp;P 500.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“With little visibility into where tariff rates shake out and the effects on earnings, it’s hard to have much conviction,” LPL Financial said in a memo to investors.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">While acknowledging the continued uncertainty, analysts who spoke to ABC News advised investors to remain in stocks if they view the holdings as long-term investments.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Loukas, of TrueMark Investments, said he views Trump&#8217;s tariffs policy as an effort to negotiate trade agreements, saying recent volatility is likely &#8220;a short-term gyration for the market.&#8221;</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">However, he added: &#8220;Take it with a grain of salt. If we’re wrong, there could be impact for the underlying economic picture.&#8221;</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">“You’re basically taking a bet on the U.S. economy and on American companies,” Yardeni said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN ">“One of the things I’ve learned in 45 years of this business: It’s amazing how the economy and stock market do over time, despite Washington,&#8221; Yardeni added.</p>
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