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		<title>How climate whiplash contributed to the severity of the California fires</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jan 2025 22:49:03 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Hydroclimate whiplash &#8212; the rapid shift between wet and dry conditions &#8212; likely contributed to the severity of the wildfires burning in Southern California, according to experts. In recent years, parts of the state shifted from a major drought to an extended period of above-average precipitation that allowed for abundant vegetation growth. After that, a [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC ">Hydroclimate whiplash &#8212; the rapid shift between wet and dry conditions &#8212; likely contributed to the severity of the wildfires burning in Southern California, according to experts.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In recent years, parts of the state shifted from a major drought to an extended period of above-average precipitation that allowed for abundant vegetation growth. After that, a stretch of intense, record-breaking heat dried out much of that vegetation and provided ample fuel for large and fast-growing wildfires.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Los Angeles region experienced two &#8220;extraordinarily wet&#8221; winters &#8212; in 2023 and 2024 &#8212; followed by dry conditions that began in February, Edith de Guzman, a water equity and adaptation policy cooperative extension specialist at the University of California, Los Angeles, told ABC News. Since May 6, Los Angeles has only seen 0.16 inches of rain, so the region’s rainy season is off to an unusually dry start.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;Right now, we essentially have had no measurable precipitation since last spring, which has dried out all of that vegetation that grew happily over the last two wet winters,&#8221; De Guzman said.</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">A firefighter battles the Palisades Fire while it burns homes at Pacific Coast Highway amid a powerful windstorm on Jan. 8, 2025 in Los Angeles, Calif.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Apu Gomes/Getty Images</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The shrub cover that popped up as a result of the extra precipitation later dried out &#8212; providing large volumes of fuel for a fire, De Guzman said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Combined with the highly flammable materials many of the houses were constructed with, such as wood frames, it was a recipe for disaster, De Guzman said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In Southern California, dry conditions are also now more likely to last later into the fall, leaving the region more vulnerable during high wind events, according to Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with both UCLA and UC Agriculture and Natural Resources.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;Climate change is increasing the overlap between extremely dry vegetation conditions later in the season and the occurrence of these wind events,&#8221; Swain said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Hydroclimate variability has always been a staple of California&#8217;s natural climate, leaving it particularly vulnerable to wildfires.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Among all of the states in the continental U.S., California has the most year-to-year variability between wet and dry conditions.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;As you move down into Southern California, that variability increases even more,&#8221; Julie Kalansky, climate scientist and deputy director of operations at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego&#8217;s Scripps Institution of Oceanography, told ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">However, some climate experts point to growing evidence that shows climate change has increased the volatility between very dry and very wet conditions around the world, like moving from a devastating drought to record-breaking precipitation and then back to a drought. These rapid swings between extreme weather events will amplify many of the associated hazards and contribute to devastating wildfire events.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Climate change could also be making wild weather swings more common and more extreme, according to <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-024-00624-z" target="_blank">new research</a> published in Nature Reviews Earth <!-- -->&amp; Environment and the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/" target="_blank">Fifth National Climate Assessment</a>, a breakdown of the latest in climate science coming from 14 federal agencies, published in November 2023.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;These hotter, dry conditions that are driven by climate change have created a tinderbox,&#8221; said Rachel Cleetus, policy director for the Climate and Energy Program at the Union of Concerned Scientists. &#8220;We have this dried out vegetation, very dry landscapes.&#8221;</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><picture class="lazyload"><source media="(max-width: 414px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/81cf4c4c-3495-4d6b-a9f9-bda073d4bbea/calif-fire32-ap-ml-250108_1736361255708_hpMain.jpg?w=375, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/81cf4c4c-3495-4d6b-a9f9-bda073d4bbea/calif-fire32-ap-ml-250108_1736361255708_hpMain.jpg?w=750 2x"><source media="(min-width: 415px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/81cf4c4c-3495-4d6b-a9f9-bda073d4bbea/calif-fire32-ap-ml-250108_1736361255708_hpMain.jpg?w=750, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/81cf4c4c-3495-4d6b-a9f9-bda073d4bbea/calif-fire32-ap-ml-250108_1736361255708_hpMain.jpg?w=1500 2x"><img decoding="async" alt="" class="hsDdd vBqtr KrDt itslR SjwtZ hakZw HlUVI " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" loading="lazy" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==" data-src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/81cf4c4c-3495-4d6b-a9f9-bda073d4bbea/calif-fire32-ap-ml-250108_1736361255708_hpMain.jpg"></picture></div>
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">A man walks his bike among the ruins left behind by the Palisades Fire in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles, Jan. 8, 2025.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Damian Dovarganes/AP</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">But hydrovariability alone didn’t lead to the devastating fires over the past week. A &#8220;confluence&#8221; of events allowed the fires to explode instantly, Cleetus said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">It was the wind that spread the fires so rapidly once they were ignited. An exceptionally strong mountain wave wind event, with northerly 80 mph to 100 mph gusts, spread the fires faster than anyone could stop them.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;We experienced the most intense Santa Ana winds in nearly 15 years,&#8221; De Guzman said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Conditions higher up in the atmosphere helped to further enhance winds at the surface.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Cold, dense air associated with a low pressure system in the upper atmosphere was moving over Baja California. That air was positioned at a favorable north-northeast to northeast trajectory over the region allowing for the colder air located higher up in the atmosphere to come rushing down towards the surface and enhance the winds already blowing.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">This brought surges of powerful winds across the Los Angeles and Ventura County Mountains &#8212; including in some places that don&#8217;t typically see winds that strong, like Burbank and in the foothills of the Pacific Palisades.</p>
<div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX ">
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">A house on fire in an area affected by the Palisades wildfire in Malibu, Calif., on Jan. 8, 2025.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Allison Dinner/EPA via Shutterstock</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The wind direction and topography played a major role as well. The San Gabriel Mountains and the wind orientation interacted to produce a damaging wind event that doesn&#8217;t occur often. The mountains can also make the winds more erratic because additional whirls of wind, known as wind eddies, can form as the air moves across the peaks and through the canyons.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;They were extremely strong and fast, but they were also erratic,&#8221; De Guzman said. &#8220;They typically are narrower and a little bit more predictable in direction.&#8221;</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN "><em class=" ">ABC News&#8217; Matthew Glasser, Dan Manzo and Ginger Zee contributed to this report.</em></p>
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<br /><a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/climate-whiplash-contributed-severity-california-fires/story?id=117621139">Source link </a></p>
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