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		<title>The stock market soared this year. What will happen in 2025?</title>
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					<description><![CDATA[The stock market climbed to record highs in 2024, extending banner gains achieved the previous year. The S&#38;P 500 &#8212; the index that most people&#8217;s 401(k)&#8217;s track &#8212; climbed nearly 28% this year, as of Monday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq leapt a staggering 34% over that period; while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 16%. Consecutive [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC ">The stock market <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/stock-market-bounce-back-worst-day-years/story?id=112773682" target="_blank">climbed</a> to record highs in 2024, extending banner gains <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/stock-market-boomed-year-happen-2024/story?id=105937497" target="_blank">achieved</a> the previous year.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The S<!-- -->&amp;P 500 &#8212; the index that most people&#8217;s 401(k)&#8217;s track &#8212; climbed nearly 28% this year, as of Monday.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The tech-heavy Nasdaq leapt a staggering 34% over that period; while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 16%.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Consecutive years of strong stock market performance have posed a quandary for forecasters: Will high stock prices scare off would-be investors in 2025, or will momentum push shares even higher?</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Experts have attributed the rise of share prices this year to a set of favorable trends: Solid economic <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/us-economy-grew-robust-pace-quarter/story?id=115296952" target="_blank">growth</a>, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/ai-driving-stock-market-rally-technology-falters/story?id=107630455" target="_blank">enthusiasm</a> about artificial intelligence and the long-awaited <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/federal-reserve-expected-cut-interest-rates-time-2020/story?id=113751446" target="_blank">start</a> of interest rate cuts at the Federal Reserve.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Those tail winds are expected to keep pushing stocks skyward in 2025, experts said, but they cautioned about more-than-usual uncertainty that could prevent further gains or even amplify them. The biggest unknown for stocks in 2025, they said: President-elect Donald Trump.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;As we close the books on 2024 and peer into 2025, perhaps the uncertainties this time are of a magnitude beyond the norm,&#8221; Kevin Gordon and Liz Ann Sonders, a pair of investment strategists at Charles Schwab, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/us-stock-market-outlook" target="_blank">said</a> last week. &#8220;Good luck figuring this one out.&#8221;</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Good news abounded for the stock market this year, in part because the economy defied doomsayers.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The economy continued to grow at a solid clip in 2024, while inflation fell. That performance kept the U.S. on track for a &#8220;<a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/soft-landing-means-chances-happen/story?id=94086706#:~:text=The%20term%20%E2%80%9Csoft%20landing%E2%80%9D%20refers,economy%20and%20choking%20off%20demand." target="_blank">soft landing</a>,&#8221; in which the economy averts a recession while inflation returns to normal.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Gross domestic product <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/us-economy-grew-robust-pace-quarter/story?id=115296952" target="_blank">grew</a> at a robust 2.8% annualized rate over three months ending in September, the most recent period for which data is available.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;U.S. strength remains undiminished,&#8221; Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, told ABC News in a statement.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Inflation has slowed dramatically from a peak of more than 9% in June 2022. A months-long stretch of progress earlier this year helped nudge the Federal Reserve toward its first interest rate cuts in four years.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">In recent months, the Fed has cut its benchmark rate three-quarters of a percentage point, dialing back its fight against inflation and delivering some relief for borrowers saddled with high costs.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Over time, rate cuts ease the burden on borrowers for everything from home mortgages to credit cards to cars, making it cheaper to get a loan or refinance one. The cuts also boost company valuations, potentially helping fuel returns for stockholders.</p>
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<div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><picture <picture="" data-testid="prism-picture" class="lazyload"><source media="(max-width: 414px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/10146eea-0d62-44e1-82e2-bbb09c7a689b/jerome-powell-ap-gmh-241216_1734385537187_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=375, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/10146eea-0d62-44e1-82e2-bbb09c7a689b/jerome-powell-ap-gmh-241216_1734385537187_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=750 2x"><source media="(min-width: 415px)" data-srcset="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/10146eea-0d62-44e1-82e2-bbb09c7a689b/jerome-powell-ap-gmh-241216_1734385537187_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=750, https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/10146eea-0d62-44e1-82e2-bbb09c7a689b/jerome-powell-ap-gmh-241216_1734385537187_hpEmbed_3x2.jpg?w=1500 2x"></picture></div>
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<div class="nMMea bNYiy Mjgpa dGwha DDmxa jgKNG RGHCC aBIU PriDW lZur " data-testid="prism-caption">
<p><span class="hsDdd OOSI GpQCA lZur VlFaz " data-testid="prism-truncate"><span><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell speaks at the DealBook Summit in New York, on Dec. 4, 2024.</span></span></span></p>
<p><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ YNujN JGtjI aZFDu rkKLh ">Seth Wenig/AP</span></p>
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<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">The Fed is expected to continue cutting interest rates next year, though a recent bout of stubborn inflation could slow, or even pause, the lowering of rates, experts <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/fed-interest-rate-cuts-may-pause-soon-experts-say/story?id=116822462" target="_blank">previously told</a> ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;Markets expect gradual rate cuts next year, which would imply inflation stays under control, the job market hums along at an acceptable pace, stocks rise, and everybody is happy,&#8221; Callie Cox, chief market strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, said in a statement to ABC News.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;Reality isn&#8217;t that cut and dry, though,&#8221; Cox added.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Some analysts pointed to Trump&#8217;s policies as a major source of uncertainty for the nation&#8217;s economic performance and, in turn, the stock market.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Trump has vowed to cut taxes for individuals and corporations, which could spur economic growth and raise stock prices, some experts said. However, they added, Trump&#8217;s <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/trumps-proposed-tariffs-raise-prices-products-experts/story?id=115893557" target="_blank">proposed tariffs</a> could hurt some U.S. producers and retailers that depend on imported raw materials, and may cause a resurgence of inflation. As a result, some stocks could suffer.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;The most significant wild card on the table for 2025 will be the potential implementation of tariffs,&#8221; David Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist for Morningstar, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.morningstar.com/markets/us-stock-market-outlook-tariffs-are-2025s-wildcard" target="_blank">said</a> earlier this month.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Since 1990, there have been 12 years in which the S<!-- -->&amp;P 500 has gained 20% or more, Cox said. The stock market crossed that threshold last year, and is almost certain to do so when 2024 comes to an end. It will be difficult for the stock market to achieve that feat for a third consecutive year, Cox added.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">&#8220;If you&#8217;re expecting a repeat of 2024, you&#8217;re asking a lot of the market gods,&#8221; Cox said.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy ">Still, the enticing possibility of another rally will draw investor interest as observers watch for any early signs of sputtering.</p>
<p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN ">&#8220;The opportunities for investors are plenty, but so are the obstacles,&#8221; Shah said.</p>
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